Archives for April 2010

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Asset Allocation for Retirement Portfolios

When making regular purchases of an investment (i.e., dollar cost averaging into it), volatility tends to reduce the average price of shares purchased. When dollar cost averaging out of an investment, volatility does the same thing–it reduces average share price.

Of course, when you’re on the selling side, reducing the average price per share is not a good thing. As a result, any asset allocation method for a portfolio in its distribution phase must either:

  • Accept the fact that volatility will probably be harmful to returns, or
  • Make an effort to temper the volatility.

Which Volatility to Reduce

If your portfolio consists entirely of an S&P 500 index fund, and you’re selling shares each day to fund living expenses, the volatility you’d be concerned with is the daily volatility of the S&P 500. If you’re selling once per month, you’d be concerned with month-to-month volatility. If you place one sell order each year, it would be annual volatility that concerns you.

In other words, the volatility that matters is the volatility of the investment(s) you’re selling over periods of time equal to the frequency with which you’re selling. And, therefore, it’s likely beneficial to make efforts to set your selling frequency equal to periods over which the investment(s) you’re selling has historically had the lowest volatility.

When DCA’ing out of stocks, this suggests that reducing the frequency of your sell orders as much as possible is likely to be beneficial (because volatility of stock returns is inversely related to the length of the period of time considered).

The “Buckets Method” of Asset Allocation

I’ve written before about the “bucket method” of asset allocation in retirement. It typically consists of setting up the following three “buckets” (or something similar):

  • 2 years of living expenses kept in a money market account,
  • 3 years of living expenses kept in short-term bond funds,
  • The remainder of the portfolio uses a static allocation (often near 40/60 stock/bond).

Then the portfolio is rebalanced annually, making sure to fill the first and second buckets back up each time.

The problem is that this method still leaves an investor with the return-damaging effects of DCA’ing out of volatile investments, because the annual rebalancing will amount to annual selling of stocks and/or long-term bonds in order to refill the first two buckets. In other words, even though the investor is spending out of the money market, he’s still funding the money market with regular, frequent sales of stock.

Minimizing Volatility

Jim Otar, however, offers a slightly different method in his Unveiling the Retirement Myth–a method which makes an effort to minimize the return-damaging effects of volatility while selling.

Otar suggests the following rules are followed:

  1. Living expenses are paid for out of the money market bucket, then (if that is depleted) out of short-term bonds.
  2. When the portfolio receives a cash inflow (dividends, interest, tax refund, etc.), first top off the money market bucket (up to 2 years again), then top off the short-term bonds (up to 3 years again), then invest any remainder in equities or long-term bonds.
  3. If rebalancing from equities to fixed income, first use the cash to top off the money market bucket, then top off the short-term bonds bucket, then purchase long-term bonds with any remaining money.
  4. If rebalancing from fixed income to equities, first use the cash to top off the money market bucket, then top off the short-term bonds bucket, then purchase equities with any remaining money.
  5. Keep rebalancing of the 3rd bucket (the one made up of equities and long-term bonds) to a minimum. Otar suggests once every 4 years.

The idea is to do everything possible to reduce the frequency with which stocks are sold–by keeping enough cash to fund living expenses and by keeping rebalancing to a minimum.

Sounds like a reasonable approach to me.

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eHealthInsurance Review

In November of 2008, I quit my job to go full-time with running my business. Of course, being the financially conservative fellow that I am, there was absolutely no way that I was going to quit until I had a new health insurance policy already in place.

Like any self-respecting member of Generation Y would do, I began my research by Googling “self-employed health insurance.” After clicking around and looking at a few different sites, I came upon eHealthInsurance.

You won’t find it cheaper anywhere else.

Apparently, health insurance pricing is regulated by law so that all the different places that sell a given policy must charge the same price as each other. So, for example, a $1,250 deductible policy through Blue Cross Blue Shield will cost the same regardless of how you buy it.

Truth be told, I was completely unaware of that fact until I read it on eHealthInsurance’s site. With that knowledge in hand, I figured there would be no point in shopping around.

Comparing Policies

Of course, you’ll still want to do your research in terms of making sure that you get the policy that’s best for you and your family.

eHealthInsurance was very helpful here. They provide access to a large number of insurance providers, so you can choose between several different plans regardless of your price range.

Customer Service

I’ve only had 2 interactions so far with their customer service, but it was excellent both times.

Most recent example: In February, Kali–my wife–got her first full-time job with benefits (hurray!). Her employer provided very low-cost insurance for her, but did what appeared to be nothing in the way of subsidizing insurance for spouses.

So I called up eHealthInsurance to ask if we could keep the policy active but remove Kali from it. Not a problem at all, apparently. All we had to do was fax over a letter indicating that we wanted to remove her from the plan, and it was taken care of.

Summary: Would I recommend them?

Given our experience so far? Absolutely. They made it easy to shop for plans, provided plenty of different options for policies, and have had great customer service. (And, apparently, nobody’s going to have better prices than they do anyhow…)


Review: LegalZoom vs. MyCorporation

I don’t write much on this blog about entrepreneurship, but since I know many of my readers are self-employed, I thought it would be worthwhile to share my thoughts (and experiences) on the topic of business formation.

If you’ve decided that you want to form an LLC or corporation for your business, it’s probably a good idea to get help. Aside from using a local attorney, the two biggest names in the industry are LegalZoom and MyCorporation (which is owned by Intuit).

My Experience with LegalZoom

I used LegalZoom to form my own LLC, and I was quite happy with the service. Everything went smoothly:

  • 4/13/08: I place my order for an LLC filing.
  • 4/16/08: I get an email to inform me that they checked the name, and it was available.
  • 4/22/08: I get an email informing me that the paperwork has been filed with the IL Secretary of State.
  • 4/29/08: I get an email informing me that the filing has been completed, and they’re shipping me the confirmation paperwork.
  • 5/1/08: I receive my copy of all of the official paperwork.

Just under 3 weeks, start to finish. No hassle at all, and they kept me up to date the entire time. I couldn’t be more pleased.

My Experience with MyCorporation

I haven’t used MyCorporation to form an LLC, but I did use them once for a DBA filing. The experience wasn’t so great.

At first, it appeared that everything went smoothly. But, to my surprise, three months after MyCorporation told me the entire process was finished, I received a letter from Cook County stating that all of the paperwork was not in fact filed, and that the entire filing had become null and void due to 90 days having passed since the process was started.

In the end, I got my money back, but the entire thing was a waste of time, as MyCorporation never did manage to complete the DBA filing.

My Recommendation

  • Go through LegalZoom, or
  • Use a local attorney.

Click here to learn more about LegalZoom’s business formation services.

Click here to learn more about MyCorporation’s services.


ETrade IRA Review

With their large advertising budget and amusing commercials featuring money-savvy babies, E*Trade has bought their way into the minds of investors. But are they actually a good place to invest? I recently opened an ETrade IRA to find out.

E*Trade Costs and Fees

E*Trade charges no annual fee for an IRA. They have a graduated cost structure for stock/ETF trades:

  • A flat $9.99 commission per stock or ETF trade, or
  • $7.99 per trade if you place 150 or more trades per quarter.

That’s a bit more expensive than some other discount brokerage firms, but it’s not entirely unreasonable.

E*Trade does not charge any commission on purchases of U.S. Treasury Bonds (including TIPS) when you buy them at auction. As far as I know, the only other brokerage firms that allow for commission-free Treasury purchases are Schwab and Fidelity. For investors with a sizable fixed-income portfolio, this can be a big money saver.

E*Trade Mutual Fund Marketplace

At E*Trade, you’ll also have access to a “no transaction fee” marketplace with over 1,000 no-load mutual funds. That said, many of the high profile fund families (Vanguard or Fidelity for instance) aren’t available without a transaction fee.

Free Trades for the First Month

If you open an IRA prior to 12/31/2010, E*Trade will give you free trades for the first 30 days (up to 100 trades). If you’re a buy & hold investor like myself (I place approximately 2 buy orders each month), this obviously isn’t that big of a deal. That said, free money is free money. No complaints here.

E*Trade Customer Service and Website

E*Trade’s email customer service isn’t the speediest. (You might not even get an answer back on the same day.) On the other hand, in my experience calling and asking the automated system for a customer service rep, I’m immediately connected to somebody who can answer my questions.

Perhaps my favorite thing about E*Trade is how fast and easy it is to fund my account. At Vanguard or Schwab, it takes a couple days for an online money transfer. At TradeKing, you have to write a paper check and mail it to them. At E*Trade, I can do an online transfer and have the cash available to invest on the same day.

Summary

Pros:

  • Reasonably cheap trades,
  • Easy-to-use website with same-day money transfers,
  • Commission-free purchases of U.S. Treasury bonds,
  • Free stock/ETF trades for first month,
  • Quick response to customer service phone calls.

Cons:

  • (Slightly) less expensive stock/ETF trades are available elsewhere,
  • Slow response to customer service emails.

Open an E*Trade Account

If you think that E*Trade sounds like a good fit for you, here’s the page where you would open an account.


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