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Investing Blog Roundup: Expected and Unexpected Returns

On Monday we discussed the expected return from the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund.

This week I came across an article from esteemed economist Kenneth French discussing the expected and unexpected returns of Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Alphabet (i.e., Google).

A key point about expected returns is that, except for a few specific types of investments (e.g., Treasury bonds that we intend to hold to maturity), we don’t actually expect to get the expected return. That is, we will almost always get more or less than the expected return (i.e., there will be some level of positive or negative unexpected return — we just don’t know how much).

Recommended Reading

*After the account fraud scandal and auto insurance scandal, I don’t understand why anybody still trusts this company with their money.

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